Tuesday, October 24, 2023

Month of MLB: Day 22

From 1903 to 2018, there was never a best of seven post-season series in MLB where the road team won every game.  Now it has happened twice, and both times the loser was Houston.  When the game started, the Astros seemed to have the advantage.  Texas was mostly out of pitchers, and had to rely on Max Scherzer (13-6, 3.77 ERA) to start the game.  Scherzer is an all-time great, but he had only thrown four innings since September 12, and you couldn't expect him to last very long.  And Scherzer didn't last long -- he throw only 2 2/3 innings, and he gave up two runs in that short stint.  But it didn't matter, because by then the roof had fallen in on Houston.  The Astros started Cristian Javier (10-5, 4.56 ERA) and he was terrible.  In only 1/3 of an inning, he gave up four hits and three earned runs.

Javier's failure wrecked the Houston bullpen.  So in the fourth inning, with Texas up 4-2, the Astros had J.P. France (11-6, 3.83 ERA) on the mound.  Under normal circumstances, France is a second-tier starter.  He did fine in Game Two, holding the Rangers to one hit and no runs in 2 1/3 innings.  But here's what happened in the fourth inning yesterday:

1.  Josh Jung singled to left
2.  Leody Taveras struck out (1 out)
3.  Marcus Semien walked (runners on first and second)
4.  Corey Seager singled to first (bases loaded)

Now at this point, I thought the Astros had to either pull France or say goodbye to their chances.  But maybe they didn't have any good options left, because they stuck with France.  So here's what happened:

5.  Evan Carter doubled to right (2 runs score) (runners on second and third)

That made the score 6-2, and even here I thought the Astros might salvage something if they replace France.  Besides, the batter was now Adolis Garcia, who already had a single and a home run in this game.  On the radio, the ESPN team thought for sure that France would walk Garcia, given the open base on first.  But France did not walk Garcia.

6.  Adolis Garcia singled to left (2 runs score) (runner on first)

And that made it 8-2.  On ESPN radio, Eduardo Perez -- who had been pleading with the Astros to walk Garcia, and who had basically predicted that at a minimum, France would pitch around Garcia -- said, "Well, I don't really have anything to say here."  And who can blame him?

So that's how the Texas Rangers won their third American League Pennant, and how Bruce Bochy ran his post-season record to 6-0 in winner-take-all games.  Garcia hit another home run in the 8th, and the Rangers rolled to an easy 11-4 win.

That means that the League Championship Series look like this:

Philadelphia 3 - 3 Arizona
Houston 3 - 4 Texas

I do love Game Sevens in baseball, and we don't get them very often.  Unless you count the COVID year -- and I don't -- last night was the first Game Seven since the Nats beat the Astros in the 2019 World Series.  So I wish last night's game had been more competitive.  But one thing about modern baseball:  once these teams get into the weak part of your bullpen, it is all over.

Amazingly, we get another Game Seven tonight in Philadelphia.  Let's hope it's close.

92 comments:

  1. Here's the lineup for Arizona:

    1. Ketel Marte, 2B (.276, 25 homers, 82 RBI's)
    2. Corbin Carroll, CF (.285, 25, 76)
    3. Gabriel Moreno, C (.284, 7, 50)
    4. Christian Walker, 1B (.258, 33, 103)
    5. Tommy Pham, RF (.241, 6, 32 in 50 games after coming from the Mets)
    6. Lourdes Gurriel, LF (.261, 24, 82)
    7. Evan Longoria, DH (.223, 11, 28 in 74 games)
    8. Emmanuel Rivera, 3B (.261, 4, 29)
    9. Geraldo Perdomo, SS (.246, 6, 47)

    Starting Pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt (3-9, 5.72 ERA in 18 starts). Pfaadt is a 24-year-old rookie who played for Louisville Trinity High School and Bellarmine University.

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  2. And here are the Phillies:

    1. Kyle Schwarber, DH (.197, 47 homers, 104 RBI's)
    2. Trea Turner, SS (.266, 26, 76)
    3. Bryce Harper, 1B (.293, 21, 72)
    4. Alec Bohm, 3B (.274, 20, 97)
    5. Bryson Stott, 2B (.280, 15, 62)
    6. J.T. Realmuto, C (.252, 20, 63)
    7. Nick Castellanos, RF (.272, 29, 106)
    8. Brandon Marsh, LF (.277, 12, 60)
    9. Johan Rojas, CF (.302, 2, 23 in 59 games)

    Starting Pitcher: Ranger Suarez (4-6, 4.18 ERA in 22 starts)

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  3. Here are the scores so far (home teams listed first):

    1. Philadelphia 5 - 3 Arizona
    2. Philadelphia 10 - 0 Arizona
    3. Arizona 2 - 1 Philadelphia
    4. Arizona 6 - 5 Philadelphia
    5. Arizona 1 - 6 Philadelphia
    6. Philadelphia 1 - 5 Arizona

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  4. I really believe that the League Championship Series is my favorite part of the MLB Season. The weather is still good, you've got two series going on, and the stakes are really high.

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  5. Best LCS of the 21st Century:

    1. 2004 ALCS (Boston 4, New York 3)
    2. 2003 ALCS (New York 4, Boston 3)
    3. 2003 NLCS (Florida 4, Chicago 3)
    4. 2006 NLCS (St. Louis 4, New York 3)
    5. 2008 ALCS (Tampa Bay 4, Boston 3)
    6. 2018 NLCS (Los Angeles 4, Milwaukee 3)
    7. 2004 NLCS (St. Louis 4, Houston 3)
    8. 2012 NLCS (San Francisco 4, St. Louis 3)
    9. 2017 ALCS (Houston 4, New York 3)
    10. 2023 ALCS (Texas 4, Houston 3)

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  6. Game 5 of the 2004 ALCS, where the Red Sox beat the Yankees in 14 innings to send the series back to Yankee Stadium (where the Red Sox won the pennant) is the best MLB game of the 21st Century.

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    1. Derek Jeter, Alex Rodriguez, Gary Sheffield, Hideki Matsui, Bernie Williams, Jorge Posada, Mike Mussina, and Mariano Rivera all played in that game for the Yankees.

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    2. Johnny Damon, Manny Ramirez, David Ortiz, Jason Varitek, Pedro Martinez, and Tim Wakefield all played in that game for the Red Sox.

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  7. Later on, ESPN's obsession with the Yankees and the Red Sox became a bit of a joke. But those two teams played 52 times in 2003 and 2004, and I probably watched at least half of those games, and they were tremendous. Two teams in the same division, battling all year for home field advantage, and then playing seven games in the LCS for two years in a row: there hasn't been anything like it before or sense.

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  8. The Yankees once had a great rivalry with the Brooklyn Dodgers, but they didn't meet during the regular season. There have been other great intraleague rivalries, but those rivalries didn't end with a seven-game winner take all series.

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  9. I'm not expressing an opinion on the Michigan signal-stealing controversy, but I will say that Michigan's victory over Ohio State last year is one of the most stunning upsets in the history of college football. Ohio State was the best team in the country, and Michigan couldn't even beat Texas Christian.

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  10. In honor of the beginning of NBA season, I checked the over-under number for Washington Wizards wins. It is 24 1/2.

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    1. I going back through the archives, and I had honestly forgotten how much time we spent covering the NBA last year. Anyway, it turns out that the Nuggets are the defending champions.

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  11. Remarkably, the Phillies have never played in a Game Seven before, either in the NLCS or the World Series.

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  12. In the top of the first, the D-backs get a single from Carroll, a single from Moreno, and a grounder from Walker to take a 1-0 lead.

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  13. Pfaadt mows down the top of the Phillies' order: 1-2-3. D-backs lead 1-0 after 1.

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  14. D-backs now have a 60 percent chance of victory.

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  15. The Rangers will have home field advantage in the World Series, no matter who wins tonight. The Series will start on Friday, October 27. If it goes seven games, Game Seven would be on Saturday, November 4.

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  16. In the bottom of the 2d, Alec Bohm leads off with a towering home run into the left field seats, and we are tied at 1.

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  17. Pfaadt escapes with no further danger, and we are tied 1-1 after 2. Both teams have a 50 percent chance of winning.

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  18. Carroll gets a one-out single, and then tries to steal second. The Phillies knew he was going, and the pitcher throws over to Bryce Harper at first just as Carroll breaks for second. It should be an easy out for the Phillies, but Harper (who isn't really used to playing first) makes a high throw, and Carroll is safely at second.

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  19. Suarez retires the next two batters, and Carroll is stranded at second. Still 1-1 after 2 1/2 innings.

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  20. Marsh leads off the bottom of the 3d with a single to right.

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  21. Update: Philadelphia took a 2-1 lead in the bottom of the 4th. But in the top of the 5th, Arizona used a single, a sacrifice bunt, and two more singles to score two runs and take a 3-2 lead. So Arizona leads 3-2 after 4 1/2.

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  22. The D-backs now turn to Joe Mantiply (2-2, 4.62 ERA in 35 appearances) to pitch the fifth. Pfaadt finishes by giving up 4 hits and 2 runs in 4 innings.

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  23. Schwarber leads off the bottom of the 5th with a double. This is a really good game -- both teams are battling on every at bat.

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  24. Mantiply gets Turner to ground out to third and retires Harper on a deep fly to left. Schwarber is still at 2d. That's all for Mantiply, who will be replaced by Ryan Thompson (1-2, 3.82 ERA in 31 games) to face Bohm.

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  25. For the record, I think the Rangers would take the Phillies in six games, and take the D-backs in five.

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  26. Bohm pops up, and the D-backs lead 3-2 after 5.

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  27. Jeff Hoffman (5-2, 2.41 ERA in 54 games) entered in the last inning for the Phillies, and he's still pitching.

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  28. D-backs now have a 65.6 percent chance of victory.

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  29. In the top of the 6th, Gurriel gets a two-out single but is stranded when Longoria strikes out. D-backs lead 3-2 after 5 1/2.

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  30. If Ryan Thompson had pitched when we were kids, he would be pretty famous. He's a really tall guy who throws with an awkward sidearm motion.

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  31. If I were a pitching coach, all my guys would throw sidearm. That pitch always looks unhittable to me.

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  32. I was right: Thompson retires the Phillies 1-2-3. D-backs lead 3-2 after 6.

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    1. They gave Ryan Thompson the win, and I can see that.

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  33. I feel like if Arizona can get even one more run, this game will be over.

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  34. With three innings to go, the D-backs have a 68.8 percent chance of victory.

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  35. With one out in the 7th, the Phillies are changing pitchers. They bring in Jose Alvarado (0-2, 1.74 ERA in 42 innings).

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  36. This move isn't working out for the Phillies. Alvarado gives up a single to Perdomo, and a double to Marte, and now the D-backs have runners on second and third with one out. The Phillies meet on the mound, and this could be your ballgame.

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  37. Carroll is three for three in this game, and he can bury Philadelphia. The Phillies draw in the infield.

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  38. Alvarado is a lefty, and he was presumably brought in to face lefties like Carroll. He gets Carroll into a 1-2 hole, but Carroll flies out to right and that scores Perdomo. The D-backs lead 4-2, and they are almost in the World Series.

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  39. That's all for Alvarado, and the Phillies turn to ace Zach Wheeler (13-6, 3.61 ERA in 32 starts). Wheeler did not appear in relief during the regular season.

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  40. The Phillies came home with a 3-2 lead, and they have scored three runs in 15 innings back in Citizens Bank Park. Now they're on the verge of elimination, even if Wheeler can get this last out in the top of the 7th.

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  41. Wheeler dominated the D-backs in Game Five, but can he retire Moreno and end this threat?

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  42. It is 55 degrees in Philly. The Phillies fans have been on their feet all night.

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  43. Wheeler strikes out Moreno, and strands a runner at second. After 6 1/2 innings, Arizona leads 4-2.

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  44. The whole point of this Phillies team is to line up a bunch of guys who like to hit home runs, and let them go out into their little ball park and bury pitchers. For two years in a row, this has worked against Atlanta. Last year, it also worked against San Diego. Houston figured it out, and beat the Phillies in six. The D-backs seem to have figured it out, and they've won three of the last four against Philadelphia, and are leading tonight. But they still have nine outs to go.

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  45. In modern baseball, teams usually have guys lined up for the 7th, 8th, and 9th innings. I don't know if that's what the D-backs do, but they bring out Andrew Saalfrank (0-0, 0.00 ERA in 10 appearances) to pitch the 7th.

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  46. The Phillies send up Cristian Pache to pinch hit for Rojas, and Saalfrank walks him. Schwarber comes to the plate as the tying run.

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  47. The count goes full to Schwarber, and then Schwarber walks. Now the tying runs are on base.

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  48. So Saalfrank retired Marsh, and then walked the next two batters. So there are runners on first and second, there is one out, and Trea Turner is coming up.

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  49. They explain on the radio that the D-backs have two good relievers, who usually pitch the 8th and the 9th. But now they will have to close out the 7th as well. The D-backs bring in Kevin Ginkel (9-1, 2.48 ERA in 60 appearances) to get out of this jam.

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  50. Ginkel v. Turner

    Pitch 1: Swinging strike (0-1)
    Pitch 2: Swinging strike (0-2)
    Pitch 3: Foul (0-2)
    Pitch 4: Turner flies out to center. Two out.

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  51. Ginkel simply dominated Turner, who never looked comfortable in that at-bat. Now it's up to Bryce Harper:

    Ginkel v. Harper:

    Pitch 1: Ball low (1-0)
    Pitch 2: Called strike (1-1)
    Pitch 3: Ball low (2-1)
    Pitch 4: Harper flies out to center. The inning is over, and the D-backs are going to win this game.

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    1. I honestly thought Bryce Harper was going to home run here, and I told my wife as much. "Well, you were wrong about that," she said.

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  52. I don't really understand why the Braves -- who see the Phillies more than anyone else -- have such a hard time getting them out in the playoffs.

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    1. I don't really understand why baseball teams didn't bunt against the shift for the last 10 years or whatever.

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  53. Twitter is reporting that earlier today, Chris "Mad Dog" Russo promised to retire from sports radio "on the spot" if the D-backs won this game.

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    1. Someday I should do a post on Mike and Mad Dog, one of the greatest shows in the history of radio.

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    2. I spent years listening to him. I can tell you all about what he's like.

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  54. Wheeler retires the D-backs in the top of the 8th. Still 4-2. D-backs need six more outs.

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  55. If Arizona wins this game, that will mean that the Number 6 seed has won the National League Pennant two years in a row.

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  56. Bohm leads off the bottom of the 8th by striking out, and smashes his bat on the ground in frustration. Ginkel looks like he's entered this game from a better and more advance league. He's just dominating the Phillies.

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  57. Stott strikes out. Two out in the 8th. Seems like the Phillies should have tried harder to score before this guy could get into the game.

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  58. Realmuto strikes out. Ginkel strikes out the side. I have no idea who the D-backs' closer is, but I don't see how he could be better than this guy. D-backs lead 4-2 after 8.

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  59. Jason Frakes tweets: "The sooner you realize how random the baseball playoffs are, the happier your life will be." I don't think the baseball playoffs are fair, because I think wins in the regular season should count for a lot more than they do. But I don't think the playoffs are random. Bruce Bochy wins all the time. The Astros win all the time. The Phillies have eliminated the Braves two years in a row, only to run out of hitting in a longer series. The Dodgers have collapsed against a divisional opponent two years in a row. The Yankees beat the Dodgers in 1947, 1949, 1952, 1953, and 1956 -- losing only in 1955. These results don't look random to me.

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    1. I agree with the point here, but I do want to go ahead and bring up three points:

      1. The Astros lost Game 7 of the American League Championship Series on Monday night.

      2. The Astros will not be participating in the World Series.

      3. I have really, really enjoyed this baseball season over the last 36 hours or so.

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  60. Now that's not the same as fair. The Braves were the best team in the National League for six months, and the Braves should go to the World Series. But MLB has a different view.

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  61. Anyway, I complained about this all last year, and it ruined baseball season for me. This year, I skipped the regular season and watched the playoffs with a different attitude, and I've had a lot more fun.

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  62. OK, the D-backs are retired in the 9th, and they bring in Paul Sewald (3-2, 3.12 ERA in 65 games, with 34 saves) to close it out.

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  63. Sewald spent most of the season with Seattle, who traded him to Arizona.

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  64. It's hard to believe he's better than Ginkel.

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  65. But the Phillies are in that mode where everyone is just swinging for the fences on every pitch, and that usually means your season is coming to an end.

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    1. Compare this to the earlier comment where I said both teams were battling on every at bat. That was after Schwarber's double in the fifth, which turned out to be Philly's last hit of the game. By the time we got to the ninth, they looked like guys hitting fungos to their kids.

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  66. Sure enough, Castellanos flies out to right. One out.

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  67. The Phillies got only five hits in this game. Their last hit was in the fifth inning, when Schwarber doubled off of Mantiply.

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  68. Pinch hitter Jake Cave is the last gasp for the Phillies.

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  69. Cave flies out to right, and the D-backs win the pennant for the second time in history, and the first time since 2001.

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  70. Bruce Bochy is going to win the World Series for the fourth time since 2010. That doesn't seem random to me.

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  71. The Nationals were the last team from the East Coast to win the World Series, and that streak will continue.

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  72. Nate Silver tweets: "MLB made a lot of great and overdue changes this season but it's time to contract the playoffs and give the regular season more meaning." How many members of the press will take up this cause?

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