TUCFC: 2015 Week 13

It feels like this season has been all about upsets.  This time it was Michigan State (5 TUCFC Power Rating) beating Ohio State (8) 17-14 on a last second field goal.    Baylor (21) beating Oklahoma State (16) to not only win the TUCFC but also knock Oklahoma State out of the playoff picture.  It was Connecticut (78) beating undefeated Houston (28) 20-17 to end whatever dream the AAC had of making the playoff.

It's been an entertaining college football season, but it feels a bit negative with upsets throwing everything in confusion every week.  Coming into the year everyone was convinced that Ohio State would easily walk to another championship, now they are out of the playoff picture.

Let's take a look at the current playoff picture.

1. Alabama
2. Clemson
3. Notre Dame
4. Michigan State

These are your four teams I believe unless one of them loses.  They definitely control their own destiny, unlike Oklahoma (11) who needs to not only keep winning, but others to lose.

Games to Watch this Week

Let's look at the games this week in terms of the conference standings.

AAC

Navy (9-1) at Houston (10-1)
     The winner of this game will win the AAC West Division. 

South Florida (7-4) at Central Florida (0-11)
     If South Florida wins and Temple loses, then South Florida wins the East Division.

Connecticut (6-5) at Temple (9-2)
     It would be strange if Temple lost and Houston lost and we ended up with a championship game between Navy and South Florida.

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ACC

Clemson and North Carolina have both clinched.

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Big 12

Oklahoma (10-1) at Oklahoma State (10-1)
     If Oklahoma wins they win the Big 12.

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Big 10

Ohio State (10-1) at Michigan (9-2)
     The winner of this game will win the East if Michigan State loses their game.

Penn State (7-4) at Michigan State (10-1)
     If Michigan State wins it they win the East.

Iowa has clinched the West

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Conference USA

Marshall (9-2) at Western Kentucky (9-2)
     The winner of this game wins the East.

Southern Mississippi (8-3) at Louisiana Tech (8-3)
     The winner of this game wins the West.  It's great how this worked out.

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MAC

Ohio (7-4) at Northern Illinois (8-3)
     If Northern Illinois wins they win the West.

Western Michigan (6-5) at Toledo (9-1)
     If Toledo wins and Northern Illinois loses then Toledo wins the West

Bowling Green has won the East

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MWC

Air Force and San Diego State have both clinched.

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Pac 12

UCLA (8-3) at USC (7-4)
     The winner wins the South

Stanford has clinched the North, but they play Notre Dame this week.  If Stanford easily beats Notre Dame and then wins the Pac 12 they could be the surprise team getting into the playoffs.

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SEC

Alabama (10-1) at Auburn (6-4)
     If Alabama wins they win the West.

Mississippi (8-3) at Mississippi State (8-3)
     If Mississippi wins and Alabama loses then Mississippi wins the West.

Florida has clinched the East.

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Sun Belt

Arkansas State (7-3) at New Mexico State (3-7)
     If Arkansas State wins they win the Sun Belt.

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TUCFC Power Rating

Rank	Team	Record	WP	WDiffP	LP	LDiffP	Power
1	Alabama	10-1	1,022.156	897.225	27.813	79.438	1,812.131
2	Clemson	11-0	753.188	823.712	0.000	0.000	1,576.900
3	Notre Dame	10-1	733.313	705.500	1.000	2.000	1,435.813
4	Stanford	9-2	859.844	743.850	47.219	131.375	1,425.100
5	Michigan State	10-1	962.469	752.300	84.813	207.688	1,422.269
6	Iowa	11-0	698.750	633.463	0.000	0.000	1,332.213
7	Florida	10-1	763.125	646.413	31.313	94.375	1,283.850
8	Ohio State	10-1	630.250	665.750	21.344	31.875	1,242.781
9	Mississippi	8-3	794.500	740.200	77.156	242.000	1,215.544
10	Northwestern	9-2	735.313	585.600	26.875	108.188	1,185.850
11	Oklahoma	10-1	597.000	707.300	37.625	128.188	1,138.488
12	Michigan	9-2	679.000	650.900	71.594	150.500	1,107.806
13	Oregon	8-3	787.000	637.538	100.281	250.813	1,073.444
14	Navy	9-1	463.813	575.425	2.000	18.000	1,019.238
15	Washington State	8-3	689.469	537.525	81.750	204.000	941.244
16	Oklahoma State	10-1	456.313	513.650	7.906	23.750	938.306
17	Utah	8-3	838.094	680.888	167.781	449.500	901.700
18	Memphis	8-3	530.438	528.050	43.656	140.188	874.644
19	UCLA	8-3	666.188	607.075	112.438	303.313	857.512
20	Louisiana State	7-3	645.031	542.075	85.906	267.063	834.137
21	Baylor	9-1	363.531	524.150	14.250	45.438	827.994
22	Toledo	9-1	453.531	474.938	58.406	95.063	775.000
23	North Carolina	10-1	483.281	639.725	104.750	254.125	764.131
24	Mississippi State	8-3	541.375	525.425	81.719	246.063	739.019
25	Texas A&M	8-3	603.656	523.713	100.125	307.750	719.494

Top KY Team

38

Western Kentucky

9-2

318.563

434.275

81.313

242.438

429.088