OK I'm trying out a few new formula this year and I'll be comparing it to the old formula.
Anyhow here are my picks for the first round games.
Old Method
Manhattan 65
Hampton 48
Mississippi 66
BYU 58
N Florida 65
Robert Morris 63
Boise St 65
Dayton 61
New Method
(I made some updating to my programming so I have updated these results)
Manhattan 78
Hampton 58
Mississippi 73
BYU 72
N Florida 69
Robert Morris 70
Boise St 63
Dayton 65
According to Sagarin's rankings we should have the following winners
Manhattan, BYU, N Florida, Boise St
According to Ken Pomeroy's rankings we should have the following winners
Manhattan, BYU, N Florida, Boise St
According to RPI rankings we should have the following winners
Manhattan, BYU, N Florida, Dayton
I'm working on a new ranking system of my own. Currently it would pick the following though it still needs some work.
Manhattan, BYU, Robert Morris, Dayton
Here are Pomeroy's predicted scores:
ReplyDeleteBYU 83, Ole Miss 81
Manhattan 74, Hampton 68
Dayton 66, Boise St. 62
North Florida 72, Robert Morris 69
By the way why does Dayton get a home game? I assume that is why Pomeroy is picking them.
ReplyDeleteThey always play the First Four in Dayton. Personally, I think they should have just put Dayton in the regular tournament, instead of giving them a First Four game at home.
DeleteYeah it makes no sense to me. It's so unfair to Boise St.
DeleteBut man what about Princeton in the women's talk about getting hosed. I love the fact too that they have them playing a mid major in the first round, so either way one of the small schools is eliminated.
It was so totally unfair to Boise State to begin with, and, then, the got ripped off at the end of the game, too.
DeleteSo my new method went 3-1 in these first round games. My old method was 1-3 and Ken Pomeroy 1-3, so pretty good so far. Hopefully it will hold up, guess we'll have a much better sense tomorrow.
ReplyDeleteWay to go, New Method!
Delete