Tuesday, March 13, 2012

Nate Silver Likes the Cats

These days, Nate Silver is best known for his numbers-based political coverage at the New York Times. But Silver started his career as a sports guy, and he has now posted his analysis of the NCAA Tournament. Like Ken Pomeroy, Silver believes UK has the best chance of going all the way, but he also says there is no odds-on favorite in the field. Here are Silver's predictions for UK's advancing through each round:

UK advancing to the round of 32: 99.2 percent chance
UK advancing to the round of 16: 88.6 percent chance
UK advancing to the round of 8: 73.2 percent chance
UK advancing to the round of 4: 57.1 percent chance
UK advancing to the round of 2: 41.4 percent chance
UK winning the national title: 26.1 percent chance

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